Transforming Scores Into Probability
How to show what subjective scores do and do not tell you about probability of success on the basis of their past performance
Probability Theory
Probability for Pragmatists
What does it mean that a probability is “correct” and how could you possibly know?
The Euler Totient Function
A Probabilistic Approach
The Probabilistic Method
Maybe the most interesting proof method
Monty Hall Revisited
How a causal framework can help you avoid the Monty Hall trap (and going home with a goat)
The ‘Balls Into Bins’ Process and Its Poisson Approximation
A simple, yet flexible process to model numerous problems
The Time Evolution of a Particle’s Position
To determine the position of a particle can be a very challenging task. The obvious way is to look at it and see where it is at that time. However, as one can expect, measuring the position of a particle at every instance of time is very difficult (impossible). (A